Lost in the Trade Fair!!!
Last month I was with a colleague in a trade fair in the US when I realised we’ve lost one of our people. Then, my mate asked what should we do. The answer I gave him was the following:
1) Let’s formulate the hypothesis about where he could be.
2) With these ones let’s formulate the probability distribution of the location (being a trade fair is quite easy, since you have the map and every section is clearly indicated) and the p.d. of finding our colleague in booth “X”.
3) Generate the search path based on the higher probabilities and carry on adjusting it as more information is gathered (i.e. he isn’t on booth “Y”). This can be done by means of Bayes theorem.
Damned! He phoned the guy! Was behind us!!!
Tags: search theory
